Well, that cleared a lot of things up. We still have a conference being determined by BCS ratings, but at least we know how that's likely to play out.
BCS Title: Oklahoma vs. Florida
Oklahoma probably wrapped up the Big 12 with a win over Oklahoma State last night (though the voters and computers will still have their say). And Florida seems unlikely to lose. I'm still not convinced either of these guys would beat USC, but the Trojans have perception issues.
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Penn State has won a share of the Big Ten title and the Big Ten's automatic BCS bid by beating Michigan State to finish 11-1. USC has, I think, clinched the Rose Bowl win with Oregon's win over Oregon State (I believe the Trojans own the tiebreakers even if they lose to UCLA). If the national perceptions of conference strength were different, this could be for all the marbles instead of a secondary bowl.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Utah
Technically, it's possible for voters or the computers to move another non-BCS team ahead of Utah. And technically it's possible that Texas will not get an automatic BCS bid as BCS #3 or BCS #4. But it's not very likely; so I'm claiming they've locked up BCS bids now.
And Utah has a big enough fan base that the Fiesta can make the other bowls owe them a favor by taking the Utes when they don't have to.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State
(no change from last week on the commentary)
This is probably the first appearance of an SEC title game loser in a BCS bowl, at least in a while. But the SEC teams after 'Bama and Florida just aren't attractive options this year, even if they'll end up BCS eligible (Georgia's loss to Georgia Tech may knock them out of the top 14, and Mississippi isn't going to sneak in). And with the choices of Ohio State, Boise State, Cinci, and maybe Ball State -- expect the Sugar to snap up the Buckeyes without thinking twice.
Orange Bowl: BC vs. Cincinnati
Cinci all but wrapped up the Big East by beating Syracuse while Pitt beat WVU. Virginia Tech and BC play for the ACC title, though it looks like Georgia Tech is actually the best team in the ACC. BC won this the first time, so I'm projecting them here.
Showing posts with label bowl projections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label bowl projections. Show all posts
Sunday, November 30, 2008
Sunday, November 23, 2008
11/23/08 BCS Bowl Projections
A few pretty major shakeups here, due to Oklahoma's blowout of Texas Tech, and more ACC chaos. Also, if a school has won their conference's BCS bowl bid outright at this point, they'll be in bold and italics.
BCS Title: Oklahoma vs. Florida
After the Sooners destroyed the Red Raiders, projecting an upset next week seems a bit crazy. And Florida seems unlikely to lose. I'm still not convinced either of these guys would beat USC, but the Trojans have perception issues.
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Penn State has won a share of the Big Ten title and the Big Ten's automatic BCS bid by beating Michigan State to finish 11-1. I'm still projecting USC here, though with Oregon State surviving another week and having the Civil War at home, that's getting tougher.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Utah
(no change from last week on the commentary) If Texas or Oklahoma State is available, I think the Fiesta takes them instead of Oklahoma, who has lost two straight Fiesta Bowls. And Utah has a big enough fan base that the Fiesta can make the other bowls owe them a favor by taking the Utes when they don't have to. Texas probably wins; they don't have Oklahoma's big game jinx, and 2008 Utah is not 2004 Utah or 2006 Boise State.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State
(no change from last week on the commentary) This is probably the first appearance of an SEC title game loser in a BCS bowl, at least in a while. But the SEC teams after 'Bama and Florida just aren't attractive options this year, even if they'll end up BCS eligible (which they shouldn't). And with the choices of Ohio State, Boise State, and the Big East champion -- which probably won't be West Virginia, with Cinci's win -- expect the Sugar to snap up the Buckeyes without thinking twice.
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati
Cinci all but wrapped up the Big East by beating Pitt. Further ACC chaos has Georgia Tech on top this week.
BCS Title: Oklahoma vs. Florida
After the Sooners destroyed the Red Raiders, projecting an upset next week seems a bit crazy. And Florida seems unlikely to lose. I'm still not convinced either of these guys would beat USC, but the Trojans have perception issues.
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Penn State has won a share of the Big Ten title and the Big Ten's automatic BCS bid by beating Michigan State to finish 11-1. I'm still projecting USC here, though with Oregon State surviving another week and having the Civil War at home, that's getting tougher.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Utah
(no change from last week on the commentary) If Texas or Oklahoma State is available, I think the Fiesta takes them instead of Oklahoma, who has lost two straight Fiesta Bowls. And Utah has a big enough fan base that the Fiesta can make the other bowls owe them a favor by taking the Utes when they don't have to. Texas probably wins; they don't have Oklahoma's big game jinx, and 2008 Utah is not 2004 Utah or 2006 Boise State.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State
(no change from last week on the commentary) This is probably the first appearance of an SEC title game loser in a BCS bowl, at least in a while. But the SEC teams after 'Bama and Florida just aren't attractive options this year, even if they'll end up BCS eligible (which they shouldn't). And with the choices of Ohio State, Boise State, and the Big East champion -- which probably won't be West Virginia, with Cinci's win -- expect the Sugar to snap up the Buckeyes without thinking twice.
Orange Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Cincinnati
Cinci all but wrapped up the Big East by beating Pitt. Further ACC chaos has Georgia Tech on top this week.
Sunday, November 16, 2008
11/16/08 BCS bowl projections
No real changes this week in how I think things will play out at the top, though I am going to change my projected ACC Champion.
BCS Title: Texas Tech vs. Florida
I'm not backing down from Oklahoma State beating Oklahoma just yet, so even if Oklahoma beats Texas Tech, Texas Tech makes the Big 12 title game. And even though crazy things have been known to happen in the Big 12 title game, Texas Tech should win it. And just for general craziness, let's have the Red Raiders win the whole thing.
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Penn State seems to be back on track to win the Big Ten after stomping Indiana. Oregon State's dreams of winning the Pac 10 by winning are still alive after beating Cal, but both Arizona and Oregon can score in bunches. USC will win, because USC always beats Big Ten teams in the Rose Bowl.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Utah
(no change from last week on the commentary) If Texas or Oklahoma State is available, I think the Fiesta takes them instead of Oklahoma, who has lost two straight Fiesta Bowls. And Utah has a big enough fan base that the Fiesta can make the other bowls owe them a favor by taking the Utes when they don't have to. Texas probably wins; they don't have Oklahoma's big game jinx, and 2008 Utah is not 2004 Utah or 2006 Boise State.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State
(no change from last week on the commentary) This is probably the first appearance of an SEC title game loser in a BCS bowl, at least in a while. But the SEC teams after 'Bama and Florida just aren't attractive options this year, even if they'll end up BCS eligible (which they shouldn't). And with the choices of Ohio State, Boise State, and the Big East champion -- which probably won't be West Virginia, with Cinci's win -- expect the Sugar to snap up the Buckeyes without thinking twice. If this actually happens, figure on the Buckeyes to beat an SEC team in a BCS bowl for the first time.
Orange Bowl: Miami vs. Cincinnati
The Hurricanes are the new chic pick for the ACC after yet more chaos there (expect someone else pencilled in next week), and the Bearcats took another step to winning the Big East by beating Louisville.
BCS Title: Texas Tech vs. Florida
I'm not backing down from Oklahoma State beating Oklahoma just yet, so even if Oklahoma beats Texas Tech, Texas Tech makes the Big 12 title game. And even though crazy things have been known to happen in the Big 12 title game, Texas Tech should win it. And just for general craziness, let's have the Red Raiders win the whole thing.
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Penn State seems to be back on track to win the Big Ten after stomping Indiana. Oregon State's dreams of winning the Pac 10 by winning are still alive after beating Cal, but both Arizona and Oregon can score in bunches. USC will win, because USC always beats Big Ten teams in the Rose Bowl.
Fiesta Bowl: Texas vs. Utah
(no change from last week on the commentary) If Texas or Oklahoma State is available, I think the Fiesta takes them instead of Oklahoma, who has lost two straight Fiesta Bowls. And Utah has a big enough fan base that the Fiesta can make the other bowls owe them a favor by taking the Utes when they don't have to. Texas probably wins; they don't have Oklahoma's big game jinx, and 2008 Utah is not 2004 Utah or 2006 Boise State.
Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State
(no change from last week on the commentary) This is probably the first appearance of an SEC title game loser in a BCS bowl, at least in a while. But the SEC teams after 'Bama and Florida just aren't attractive options this year, even if they'll end up BCS eligible (which they shouldn't). And with the choices of Ohio State, Boise State, and the Big East champion -- which probably won't be West Virginia, with Cinci's win -- expect the Sugar to snap up the Buckeyes without thinking twice. If this actually happens, figure on the Buckeyes to beat an SEC team in a BCS bowl for the first time.
Orange Bowl: Miami vs. Cincinnati
The Hurricanes are the new chic pick for the ACC after yet more chaos there (expect someone else pencilled in next week), and the Bearcats took another step to winning the Big East by beating Louisville.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
Posts
