In order to make things interesting, my 'if the season ended today' forecast is going to assume that Oregon State will win out and win the Pac 10 as long as it's possible for that to happen. I don't think this will happen. But with no upsets in the top 15 this week, this week's snapshot would only change in the Orange Bowl teams if I continued to assume USC wins the Pac 10 here. Same rules as last time; bold teams automatically go to the bowl I've placed them in given my assumptions; italics mean the team is guaranteed a BCS bowl bid given my assumptions. So...
BCS Title: #1 Alabama vs. #2 Texas Tech
(no change) No analysis needed here; that's just who #1 and #2 are in the current polls.
Rose Bowl: #21 Oregon State vs. #8 Penn State
As with the once-likely Ohio State-USC matchup, there's a possibility the Rose would try to arragne a swap rather stage a rematch of what was a one-sided game in the regular season.
Fiesta Bowl: #3 Texas vs. #6 USC
The Fiesta's choice of Texas is no choice at all; they can keep any other BCS bowl from taking a Big 12 team, and Texas is guaranteed a bid by finishing #3. With USC available, the Fiesta ignores nearby Utah in favor of the premeire western team of the decade.
Sugar Bowl: #4 Florida vs. #7 Utah
The Sugar doesn't think twice about selecting Florida to replace Alabama, but has two unattractive options in Utah and the Big East champion. The Utes have been better at bringing fans, so Nawlins gets invaded by Mormons.
Orange Bowl: #22 North Carolina vs. #19 Cincinnati
Cinci and UNC both play in their first major bowl, ever, I think.